MoveOn.org Vote results
I have to make a couple of points following the Dean victory.
1. I won! I won!
er..
My horse won!!
I say, 'my horse' because, in this case, I'm a betting man, and in this race, I'm betting that the crippled horse will lose when he gets around to the Kentucky Derby, even if he won the little primary that could.
A sampling of some of the emails I have received since voting encourage me to help my candidate financially, encourage me by letting me know that those who voted will stand firmly behind whatever Democrat runs against Bush,
and encourage me by letting me know that since, unfortunately, no candidate won 50% of the vote, the MoveOn.org PAC will not be
financially backing Mr. Howard Dean.
what?!?
I want this man to get the money!#$!
I mean, I guess I didn't read the fine print when I voted and make myself aware that this outcome was likely, but still... it just seems like a whole lot of bluster to tell the candidate that he is supported by 44% of a very large first of its kind online primary and then not give him anything for it.
Doesn't that sort of sound like poll results? I mean, we talk and talk about polls during primaries, but we know it doesn't really mean anything until VOTING actually starts happening.
Let's be real here. Much as it satisfies me, MoveOn.org has totally shot itself in the foot. By not giving Dean any money with which to put muscle behind the online vote, they are marginalizing their own significance. It seems to me like if I was a Democrat who supported Dean like
some do I would be feeling robbed - seeing as so many hang on to his impressive Internet-based fundraising ability.
Even if not, the beauty of the situation is in the details:
Moveon.org reports that 139,360 voted for Dean. Considering that meetup is only 40k, that's an amazing number. Now, what if, instead of just voting for Dean, each of those 139,360 gave $25 to the campaign. Since that is less than $250, it will be matched and the effective contribution would be $50 each -- that's almost $7 million. When Howard Dean says that we have the power, he ain't kidding. We each give 25 dollars a quarter and this primary is over. Money follows money -- the other campaigns would be starved.
I LOVE this. I know of at least two people out of those 139,360 that voted FOR George W. Bush by placing a dot next to Dean's name. Yes, Bush will almost certainly win anyway, but it would be that much sweeter to have him trounce someone like Dean.
I am simply pointing out that these Internet Dean-junkies totally overestimate the amount of support for Dean and will be shocked when the numbers come in. It wouldn't be totally outrageous to go ahead and give this man the money to win the primary, because his appeal to the broader public will collapse like Frosty introduced to summer.
Ok, I think I'm done on the Dean thing for a while... it's just so like... well, think about the Iraq war. Bush's opponents were SO SURE we were going to be 'bogged down' in a 'quagmire' and have 'another vietnam' on our hands with 'tens of thousands' of bodybags coming home. They were SO SURE, folks. Don't forget it.
But after the
election war they saw the truth about the Iraqi army,
and the truth about America's awesome military and
then they conveniently 'remembered' that 'everyone knew' it was going to be an absolute cakewalk because no one ever really thought anything of
Dean Saddam anyway....
I mean... everyone knew it all along... they just weren't coming right out and saying it...
y'know..